What is the expected waiting time to secure a Ryzen 5700X3D priced under $150?
What is the expected waiting time to secure a Ryzen 5700X3D priced under $150?
I recall selling my 2x1GB DDR1 modules and buying an 8GB DDR3 memory using the funds from that transaction in 2009. That amount was roughly around 250 euros. I think prices have been unusually low ever since, so the bubble had to burst at some point.
DDR4 costs have remained low over several years, which makes me question your assessment. If the price has stayed around $70 for more than two years and then jumps up 85%, it’s not the issue. It’s more challenging to locate DDR5 models that have been available longer, but I found ones priced between $100 and $110 at the end of 2023. This range didn’t shift until October 2025, and now they exceed $200. This also highlights a consistent long-term market trend, suggesting your view might be incorrect.
The DRAM market behaves differently from NAND, where prices dropped sharply and spikes were expected. Pricing has stayed relatively stable for extended periods, with high-end prices gradually decreasing. The present rates are mainly influenced by supply shortages pushing prices higher.
It's not a stock market price or housing price which means there is no bubble to be bursted. Those bubbles burst because of over speculation, which isn't a thing for a retail product.
The cause of the increase in ddr4/ddr5 ram is low supply increasing the price. It's low supply is caused by A.I data centers requiring all the ram the manufacturers can make.
I bought £100 to upgrade an IBM compatible PC from 512KB to 640KB in 1986.
That amount equals £315 today or US $412 for 128K of RAM (in DIL packages).
$3,926 per MB and more than $3 million per GB.
Back then, people didn’t expect more than 640K in a computer.
https://quoteinvestigator.com/2011/09/08/640k-enough/
I think this isn’t really about the current RAM shortage, but I’m glad I won’t have to start a new build for a couple of years.